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Friday, May 14, 2010

Re: EU Bluffs Market


US $700 Billion Bail Out:  Oct 2008.  
Market Bottom:  March 2009.

EU €750 Billion Bail Out:  May 2010.
Market Bottom:  in a few months?




Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Re: EU Bluffs Market



EU To Market:

Warning!  If you refuse to lend money to the 5 of us (PIIGS), we will collectively borrow $1 Trillion from you and lend to them!



And, that will completely solve our debt problem!


EU Bluffs Market


EU To Market:

Warning!  If you refuse to lend money to the 5 of us (PIIGS), we will collectively borrow $1 Trillion from you and lend to them!


Friday, May 7, 2010

FPL Group

FPL Group (NYSE: FPL) is a utility in Florida. The utility sector is considered "safe harbor" given the increased volotility in the market.

Its market cap is 21B while enterprise value is 40B according to Yahoo Financial.

Key data:
EPS:  4.42
Dividend:   2.00  (Yield 3.9%)
P/E:   11.58  (vs. 14.82 for industry)
PEG:  1.68  (vs. 2.5 for industry)

Best part:  this stock DID NOT FALL yesterday!


Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Market bearish reversal

From Oct 30, 2009 to Jan 20, 2010:  64 Trading Days.

From Feb 5, 2010 to April 27, 2010:  also 64 Trading Days.


Thursday, November 26, 2009

dude, bye


Dubai.  Do buy?  Dude, bye!


Monday, November 23, 2009

The Dollar is going ...

The Peterson Institute for International Economics:  … if the post-recession, long-term US fiscal deficit skyrockets, to 10 percent of GDP instead of adjusting to 2 percent—because of uncontrolled spending on health care and Social Security—the current account deficit and foreign debt could explode. By 2030 the current account deficit would soar to more than $5 trillion annually, or more than 15 percent of US GDP, if policymakers fail to take decisive action to reduce the size of future budget deficits once the economy improves enough to do so. As a result, the net foreign debt of the United States would rise to $50 trillion, or more than 140 percent of GDP—far above any conceivably sustainable positions. The nation could be transferring about 7 percent of GDP annually to foreigners by 2030 to service its huge international debt. Projections by William R. Cline (see chapter 2 [pdf] in The Long-Term International Economic Position of the United States)

 

The New York Times: With the national debt now topping $12 trillion, the White House estimates that the government’s tab for servicing the debt will exceed $700 billion a year in 2019. (From Payback Time - Wave of Debt Payments Facing U.S. Government - Series - NYTimes.com).

 

 

The bear market will come when ...